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한국수자원학회 / v.3, no.4, 2002년, pp.215-234 
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( UNCERTAINTY IN DAM BREACH FLOOD ROUTING RESULTS FOR DAM SAFETY RISK ASSESSMENT ) |
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| Uncertainty in dam breach flood routing results was analyzed in order to provide the basis fer the investigation of their effects on the flood damage assessments and dam safety risk assessments. The Monte Carlo simulation based on Latin Hypercube Sampling technique was used to generate random values for two uncertain input parameters (i.e., dam breach parameters and Manning's n roughness coefficients) of a dam breach flood routing analysis model. The flood routing results without considering the uncertainty in two input parameters were compared with those with considering the uncertainty. This paper showed that dam breach flood routing results heavily depend on the two uncertain input parameters. This study indicated that the flood damage assessments in the downstream areas can be critical if uncertainty in dam breach flood routing results are considered in a reasonable manner. |
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| 키워드 |
| Uncertainty analysis;Probability risk analysis;Dam safety risk assessment;Dam break analysis;Flood rout-ing analysis;Monte Carlo simulation;Latin Hypercube Sampling technique; |
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Water Engineering Research / v.3, no.4, 2002년, pp.215-234
한국수자원학회
ISSN : 1229-6503
UCI : G100:I100-KOI(KISTI1.1003/JNL.JAKO200211921503003)
언어 : 영어 |
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| 논문 제공 : KISTI 한국과학기술정보연구원 |
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