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한국수자원학회 / v.17, no.4, 1984년, pp.273-279 
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한반도에 대한 태풍내습확률 산정에 관한 연구
( A Study on the Probabilistic Prediction of Typhoons Approaching the Korean-Peninsula ) |
| 박준일;유희정;이배호; 경상대학교 공과대학;안성농업 전문대학;중앙대학교 공과대학;
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| 초 록 |
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| An attempt is made to present a method of prediction for typhoons apporaching the Korean-peninsula. The method is based upon the Bayesian theorem to improve the observed (prior) probabilities of typhoons approaching the Korean sea area incorporating conditional probability. A total of 248 typhoons is collected and analyzed to establish prior probability and conditional probability according to the defined procedure. The typhoons used are those which encompassed the western Pacific area to which the Korean-peninsula is subjected. The results of examplary computations suggest that the presented method is promising for predicting approaching typhoons. |
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| 키워드 |
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한국수자원학회지 / v.17, no.4, 1984년, pp.273-279
한국수자원학회
ISSN : 1738-9488
UCI : G100:I100-KOI(KISTI1.1003/JNL.JAKO198411920091088)
언어 : 한국어 |
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| 논문 제공 : KISTI 한국과학기술정보연구원 |
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